NHVI Data Story

Why nights are becoming deadlier, and for whom

The Night Heat Vulnerability Index combines thermal exposure, urban form, and social determinants into a 0-100 score that reveals where heat injustice is compounding fastest.

Equity Gap

0.0

NHVI-point difference between highest and lowest risk neighborhoods

Nighttime warming acceleration

~2x faster

Nighttime minima are rising roughly twice daytime highs in urban regions.

Zhao et al. 2014

Heat mortality timing

Predominantly nocturnal

A large share of deaths occur during nighttime and early morning windows.

Murage et al. 2017

Urban amplification

Significant attributable burden

Urban heat island intensity materially increases mortality risk in heat events.

Heaviside et al. 2017

Formula Breakdown

Night Heat Vulnerability Index (NHVI)

NHVI = NighttimeTemp + CanopyDeficit + BuildingAge + PovertyRate + ElderlyPop + ACDeficit + SurfaceAlbedo

Nighttime Temp

27% weight

Higher nighttime minimums indicate failed physiological recovery windows.

Canopy Deficit

18% weight

Lower canopy means weaker shade and weaker evapotranspiration cooling.

Building Age

14% weight

Older envelopes release stored daytime heat into occupied nighttime periods.

Poverty Rate

16% weight

Higher poverty increases heat exposure and lowers adaptive options.

Elderly Population

8% weight

A larger older adult population increases physiological vulnerability.

AC Deficit

12% weight

Low cooling access raises uncompensated overnight heat strain.

Surface Albedo

5% weight

Dark, low-albedo surfaces absorb and re-radiate more heat after sunset.

Selected Neighborhood Profile

Thorncliffe Park

East York

Critical

NHVI Score

75.8

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Neighborhood Ranking

Highest NHVI neighborhoods

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Historical Divergence

20-year widening night-heat divide

The most vulnerable neighborhoods are climbing faster, with accelerating divergence from high-canopy, high-resource neighborhoods.

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AI Advisor

AI NHVI Analyst

Interpret score drivers, equity gap pressure, and trend divergence to produce decision-ready adaptation recommendations.

AI-enabled

Risk Tier Classification

Standardized risk bands

0-25

Low Risk

26-50

Moderate

51-75

High Risk

76-100

Critical

Sources

Centralized evidence and API registry

Source details are now managed in a single place so users can see what data powers each tool and page without duplicate source panels.

Open Sources page